UTA
Utah Jazz
21-61
ELO 1360
@
Upcoming
Wednesday, September 16 · 10:38 AM UTC
SAC
Sacramento Kings
43-39
ELO 1530
+46.7% EV
High Value
Current Odds Updated 15:38 UTC
Moneyline
SAC
1.27
82.6% true prob
vs
UTA
6.02
17.4% true prob
Spread / Handicap
SAC
-7.1
1.86
vs
UTA
7.1
2.01
Total (O/U)
Over 235.0
1.88
|
Under 235.0
1.99
🤖 AI Analysis
Likely Winner
Sacramento Kings
78.9% model probability
UTA
SAC
Best Bet
home spread · spread home
1.86
Expected Value
+46.7%
Confidence
97%
Kelly (¼)
5.0%
Risk Level
Medium
Model gives Sacramento Kings (home spread) a 46.7% EV edge at 97.0% confidence based on ELO, win-rate, and net-rating signals.
💎 High Value
📊 Detailed Analysis
Pace & Scoring
Expected pace: 102.1 possessions/48min (high). Projected combined score: ~234 pts.
Market Edge
Model sees 3.7% edge for Utah Jazz. ELO differential: 170 pts (Sacramento Kings higher).
Risk Factors
No significant risk factors identified.
Team Comparison
SAC
ELO Rating
UTA
1530
1360
SAC
Points/Game
UTA
119
110
SAC
Points Allowed
UTA
118
121
SAC
Net Rating
UTA
1
-10
SAC
Pace
UTA
104
101