LAC
Los Angeles Clippers
43-39
ELO 1530
@
Upcoming
Wednesday, September 16 · 12:38 AM UTC
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
50-32
ELO 1605
+40.1% EV
High Value
Current Odds Updated 15:38 UTC
Moneyline
DAL
1.40
73.6% true prob
vs
LAC
3.90
26.4% true prob
Spread / Handicap
DAL
-3.8
1.92
vs
LAC
3.8
1.95
Total (O/U)
Over 230.0
1.95
|
Under 230.0
1.87
Odds Movement History
🤖 AI Analysis
Likely Winner
Dallas Mavericks
35.6% model probability
LAC
DAL
Best Bet
away · ml away
3.93
Expected Value
+40.1%
Confidence
77%
Kelly (¼)
3.4%
Risk Level
Medium
Model gives Los Angeles Clippers (away) a 40.1% EV edge at 77.0% confidence based on ELO, win-rate, and net-rating signals.
💎 High Value
📊 Detailed Analysis
Pace & Scoring
Expected pace: 100.8 possessions/48min (moderate). Projected combined score: ~230 pts.
Market Edge
Model sees 9.0% edge for Los Angeles Clippers. ELO differential: 75 pts (Dallas Mavericks higher).
Risk Factors
No significant risk factors identified.
Team Comparison
DAL
ELO Rating
LAC
1605
1530
DAL
Points/Game
LAC
118
114
DAL
Points Allowed
LAC
116
113
DAL
Net Rating
LAC
3
1
DAL
Pace
LAC
101
100