GSW
Golden State Warriors
48-34
ELO 1560
@
Upcoming
Tuesday, September 15 · 09:38 AM UTC
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
56-26
ELO 1670
+49.4% EV
High Value
Current Odds Updated 15:38 UTC
Moneyline
MIN
1.33
77.5% true prob
vs
GSW
4.59
22.5% true prob
Spread / Handicap
MIN
-5.0
1.86
vs
GSW
5.0
2.01
Total (O/U)
Over 225.0
1.77
|
Under 225.0
2.06
Odds Movement History
🤖 AI Analysis
Likely Winner
Minnesota Timberwolves
32.7% model probability
GSW
MIN
Best Bet
away · ml away
4.57
Expected Value
+49.4%
Confidence
78%
Kelly (¼)
3.5%
Risk Level
Medium
Model gives Golden State Warriors (away) a 49.4% EV edge at 78.0% confidence based on ELO, win-rate, and net-rating signals.
💎 High Value
📊 Detailed Analysis
Pace & Scoring
Expected pace: 99.2 possessions/48min (moderate). Projected combined score: ~225 pts.
Market Edge
Model sees 9.8% edge for Golden State Warriors. ELO differential: 110 pts (Minnesota Timberwolves higher).
Risk Factors
No significant risk factors identified.
Team Comparison
MIN
ELO Rating
GSW
1670
1560
MIN
Points/Game
GSW
112
117
MIN
Points Allowed
GSW
107
114
MIN
Net Rating
GSW
5
2
MIN
Pace
GSW
98
101