TOR
Toronto Raptors
30-52
ELO 1440
@
Upcoming
Wednesday, September 16 · 08:38 PM UTC
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
24-58
ELO 1390
+18.0% EV
High Value
Current Odds Updated 15:38 UTC
Moneyline
PHI
1.84
57.1% true prob
vs
TOR
2.45
42.9% true prob
Spread / Handicap
PHI
0.7
1.92
vs
TOR
-0.7
1.95
Total (O/U)
Over 225.0
1.85
|
Under 225.0
2.02
🤖 AI Analysis
Likely Winner
Philadelphia 76ers
48.2% model probability
TOR
PHI
Best Bet
away · ml away
2.45
Expected Value
+18.0%
Confidence
73%
Kelly (¼)
3.1%
Risk Level
Medium
Model gives Toronto Raptors (away) a 18.0% EV edge at 73.0% confidence based on ELO, win-rate, and net-rating signals.
💎 High Value
📊 Detailed Analysis
Pace & Scoring
Expected pace: 99.5 possessions/48min (moderate). Projected combined score: ~226 pts.
Market Edge
Model sees 5.3% edge for Toronto Raptors. ELO differential: -50 pts (Philadelphia 76ers lower).
Risk Factors
No significant risk factors identified.
Team Comparison
PHI
ELO Rating
TOR
1390
1440
PHI
Points/Game
TOR
109
111
PHI
Points Allowed
TOR
116
116
PHI
Net Rating
TOR
-6
-5
PHI
Pace
TOR
100
99