ORL
Orlando Magic
47-35
ELO 1580
@
Upcoming
Wednesday, September 16 · 03:38 PM UTC
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
36-46
ELO 1480
+17.8% EV
High Value
Current Odds Updated 15:38 UTC
Moneyline
ATL
2.08
49.3% true prob
vs
ORL
2.02
50.7% true prob
Spread / Handicap
ATL
2.5
1.92
vs
ORL
-2.5
1.95
Total (O/U)
Over 227.5
1.94
|
Under 227.5
1.98
Odds Movement History
🤖 AI Analysis
Likely Winner
Orlando Magic
56.1% model probability
ORL
ATL
Best Bet
away · ml away
2.10
Expected Value
+17.8%
Confidence
75%
Kelly (¼)
4.0%
Risk Level
Medium
Model gives Orlando Magic (away) a 17.8% EV edge at 75.0% confidence based on ELO, win-rate, and net-rating signals.
💎 High Value
📊 Detailed Analysis
Pace & Scoring
Expected pace: 99.9 possessions/48min (moderate). Projected combined score: ~228 pts.
Market Edge
Model sees 6.1% edge for Orlando Magic. ELO differential: -100 pts (Atlanta Hawks lower).
Risk Factors
No significant risk factors identified.
Team Comparison
ATL
ELO Rating
ORL
1480
1580
ATL
Points/Game
ORL
117
110
ATL
Points Allowed
ORL
120
108
ATL
Net Rating
ORL
-3
2
ATL
Pace
ORL
103
96