NYK
New York Knicks
51-31
ELO 1610
@
Upcoming
Monday, September 14 · 06:38 PM UTC
BOS
Boston Celtics
61-21
ELO 1720
+37.4% EV
High Value
Current Odds Updated 15:38 UTC
Moneyline
BOS
1.34
77.4% true prob
vs
NYK
4.60
22.6% true prob
Spread / Handicap
BOS
-5.0
1.84
vs
NYK
5.0
2.03
Total (O/U)
Over 227.5
1.98
|
Under 227.5
1.89
Odds Movement History
🤖 AI Analysis
Likely Winner
Boston Celtics
30.0% model probability
NYK
BOS
Best Bet
away · ml away
4.57
Expected Value
+37.4%
Confidence
85%
Kelly (¼)
2.6%
Risk Level
Medium
Model gives New York Knicks (away) a 37.3% EV edge at 85.0% confidence based on ELO, win-rate, and net-rating signals.
💎 High Value
📊 Detailed Analysis
Pace & Scoring
Expected pace: 98.3 possessions/48min (moderate). Projected combined score: ~227 pts.
Market Edge
Model sees 7.1% edge for New York Knicks. ELO differential: 110 pts (Boston Celtics higher).
Risk Factors
No significant risk factors identified.
Team Comparison
BOS
ELO Rating
NYK
1720
1610
BOS
Points/Game
NYK
121
114
BOS
Points Allowed
NYK
110
109
BOS
Net Rating
NYK
10
4
BOS
Pace
NYK
100
97